CrudeQ
Energy Equities
Oil majors, E&P companies, refiners, oilfield services, and midstream — screened through a commodity-first lens. Understand how energy equities move with the underlying market.
This Week's Equity Lens
Bullish Refiners — VLO / MPC
Crack spreads elevated — refining margins remain wide.
Distillate demand continues to outpace refinery throughput recovery while crude input costs have softened. The 321 crack spread remains above 5-year seasonal averages, creating a favorable margin environment for complex refiners. Both VLO and MPC trade at single-digit P/E with aggressive capital return programs.
Sector Dashboard
Key energy sector benchmarks and constituent performance.
* Prices are static illustrative values. Live data feed coming in future release.
Relative Performance
XLE vs S&P 500 vs WTI indexed to 100 — select time range.
Company Screener
Filter by sub-sector, dividend, beta, valuation, or momentum.
| Ticker | Company | Price | P/E | Dividend | YTD | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | ExxonMobil | $118.43 | 13.4x | 3.4% | +6.2% | Integrated |
| CVX | Chevron | $159.21 | 12.8x | 4.1% | +4.8% | Integrated |
| BP | BP | $34.72 | 8.1x | 5.2% | +2.1% | Integrated |
| SHEL | Shell | $67.55 | 9.3x | 4.0% | +3.4% | Integrated |
| COP | ConocoPhillips | $101.87 | 11.2x | 2.1% | +9.6% | Upstream |
| OXY | Occidental | $52.14 | 10.5x | 1.8% | +12.4% | Upstream |
| APA | APA Corp | $24.38 | 7.6x | 3.2% | +8.1% | Upstream |
| VLO | Valero Energy | $162.50 | 9.8x | 3.1% | +5.3% | Refining |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | $185.34 | 8.4x | 2.3% | +7.8% | Refining |
| SLB | SLB (Schlumberger) | $43.21 | 15.1x | 2.6% | -3.2% | Services |
| HAL | Halliburton | $34.56 | 13.7x | 2.2% | -1.8% | Services |
* All figures are illustrative. Live market data integration planned for future release.
Oil Price Sensitivity
Who benefits most from rising oil? Understand beta by sub-sector.
Who Benefits Most From Rising Oil?
Energy equities do not all move the same way with crude. Understanding sensitivity by sub-sector is critical for positioning — especially around EIA releases, OPEC decisions, and macro risk-off events.
High Beta to Oil
These names move aggressively with WTI/Brent. Leverage rises when oil rallies — but drawdowns are steep on selloffs.
Defensive Majors
Integrated balance sheets, strong dividends, and downstream buffers dampen oil volatility impact.
Crack Spread Winners
Refiners profit from the spread between crude input costs and product output prices — not from crude prices directly.
Weekly Equity Ideas
Thematic setups aligned to current commodity conditions.
Bullish Refiners
VLO · MPC
Crack spreads elevated — refining margins remain wide as distillate and gasoline demand outpaces crude supply tightness.
Defensive Majors
XOM · CVX
High macro or geopolitical uncertainty favors integrated names with diversified cash flows, strong dividends, and balance sheet depth.
Services Recovery
SLB · HAL
Rising upstream capex guidance from majors and E&P companies signals an activity recovery — oilfield services are typically a lagging beneficiary.
Valuation Snapshot
Heatmap: green = cheapest EV/EBITDA, red = richest. Yields: green = highest.
| Ticker | Type | EV / EBITDA | Div Yield | Buyback Yield | FCF Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM ExxonMobil | Integrated | 7.2x | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% |
| CVX Chevron | Integrated | 6.8x | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.9% |
| BP BP | Integrated | 5.1x | 5.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% |
| SHEL Shell | Integrated | 5.6x | 4.0% | 3.5% | 7.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | Upstream | 6.3x | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.8% |
| OXY Occidental | Upstream | 5.8x | 1.8% | 2.1% | 9.2% |
| APA APA Corp | Upstream | 4.2x | 3.2% | 1.9% | 11.4% |
| VLO Valero Energy | Refining | 5.9x | 3.1% | 4.8% | 10.2% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum | Refining | 5.1x | 2.3% | 5.6% | 11.8% |
| SLB SLB (Schlumberger) | Services | 9.4x | 2.6% | 1.2% | 5.1% |
| HAL Halliburton | Services | 8.7x | 2.2% | 1.0% | 4.8% |
* Color intensity = relative cheapness/richness within this universe. All figures illustrative.
CrudeQ Opportunity Ranking
Composite score /100 across Valuation, Momentum, Oil Sensitivity, Balance Sheet, Macro Setup.
Each name scored /20 across five factors: Valuation, Momentum, Oil Sensitivity, Balance Sheet, Macro Setup. Total out of 100.
OXY
Occidental
85
/100
Highest oil beta in universe, strong Permian FCF, Buffett stake signals long-term conviction.
COP
ConocoPhillips
80
/100
Best-in-class low-cost E&P with strong FCF torque, variable dividend, and clean balance sheet.
VLO
Valero Energy
78
/100
Crack spreads elevated, refining margins wide, defensive to crude selloffs yet earnings-rich.
APA
APA Corp
77
/100
Deeply discounted to intrinsic value, high oil leverage, Suriname optionality not priced in.
MPC
Marathon Petroleum
75
/100
High-complexity refinery network, aggressive buyback program, MPLX MLP provides yield support.
* Scores are illustrative and reflect a subjective composite framework. Not investment advice.
Catalyst Timeline
Upcoming events, earnings, and macro releases that could move energy equities.
Stock vs Oil Correlation
12-month rolling Pearson r — how tightly each name tracks its primary commodity driver.
How Equities Move Relative to Underlying Commodity Drivers
12-month rolling Pearson correlation between equity price and primary commodity driver. Higher values indicate tighter co-movement. Correlations shift with macro regimes.
* Correlation values are illustrative estimates. Live charting with historical overlays planned for future release.
Scenario Matrix
Which names perform best under each macro / commodity scenario.
Use as a quick rotation guide alongside the weekly brief.
Oil ↑
Rising Crude
WTI/Brent breakout, supply tightness, geopolitical risk premium building.
Best Names
Oil Flat
Range-Bound Crude
Sideways WTI, no directional momentum — income and balance sheet quality wins.
Best Names
Cracks ↑
Elevated Crack Spreads
Refining margins wide — distillate or gasoline demand surge, crude input costs soft.
Best Names
Capex ↑
Rising Upstream Spend
Operators increasing drilling budgets — services volumes, pricing power, backlog rebuilding.
Best Names
NOTE — All data displayed is illustrative and for educational purposes only. Prices, fundamentals, and scores reflect static sample values. Live data feeds, interactive correlation overlays, and sector rotation signals are planned for a future release. Not investment advice.